Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 9.793244 11.321327 12.958740 14.838037 16.929366 19.179214 21.776512
2025-07-06 7.938540 9.944286 12.227732 14.999974 18.253821 21.930740 26.377770
2025-07-13 6.819653 9.137498 11.911580 15.435250 19.747716 24.808285 31.146718
2025-07-20 5.927455 8.436479 11.575312 15.721530 20.979292 27.346235 35.553042
2025-07-27 5.115003 7.707154 11.086617 15.713405 21.770632 29.312426 39.279802
2025-08-03 4.244720 6.778500 10.222040 15.106351 21.701942 30.135591 41.548487
2025-08-10 3.655728 6.160358 9.696078 14.873035 22.057925 31.460896 44.447761
2025-08-17 3.132099 5.568249 9.138328 14.528866 22.208277 32.480785 46.941179
2025-08-24 2.735482 5.117764 8.734115 14.352540 22.550306 33.735441 49.751318
2025-08-31 2.356150 4.645797 8.248416 14.007810 22.612382 34.582192 52.007461
2025-09-07 2.123599 4.387018 8.062215 14.084728 23.266124 36.249439 55.414388
2025-09-14 1.885705 4.088690 7.783282 13.991211 23.648956 37.530027 58.302601
2025-09-21 1.719450 3.901037 7.671017 14.152495 24.422361 39.400430 62.089723
2025-09-28 1.572306 3.730198 7.569883 14.318696 25.200913 41.293121 65.951580
2025-10-05 1.481741 3.657018 7.628067 14.742632 26.388194 43.813386 70.775374
2025-10-12 1.377430 3.543046 7.602839 15.020566 27.349205 46.017434 75.186478
2025-10-19 1.243862 3.350990 7.419097 15.013574 27.847020 47.530728 78.610532
2025-10-26 1.052555 3.007082 6.922395 14.428687 27.373261 47.539438 79.786487
2025-11-02 0.926460 2.788936 6.642878 14.203944 27.472089 48.418485 82.273483
2025-11-09 0.803832 2.559125 6.318032 13.872313 27.369222 48.968612 84.261818
2025-11-16 0.710968 2.386374 6.090818 13.702427 27.526616 49.923737 86.881273
2025-11-23 0.614520 2.187448 5.789472 13.370290 27.382752 50.384255 88.735334
2025-11-30 0.561338 2.094415 5.703974 13.444401 27.948067 51.997105 92.414928